On the perfect asset class for open market operations
The main idea: a Central Bank limiting open market
operations to the acquisition and issuance of its own shares would suffer few
of the issues that plague the current alternatives.
0. Posts on this blog are ranked in decreasing order of likeability to myself. This entry was originally posted on 06.07.2022, and the current version may have been updated several times from its original form.
1.1 Those of us who prefer monetary matters to be managed by open market operations instead of interest rates are presented with the issue of asset quality.
1.2 Will there be enough assets of good quality to buy to
increase monetary supply as much as one may need to? Isn’t buying treasuries just monetizing
debt? Even if not, the whole debate around treasuries being money anyway is
still live and, worst case scenario, open market operations are just buying
money with money.
1.3 Moreover, isn’t buying stocks, market intervention? Buying
up insane quantities of mortgage-backed securities sure seemed like bailing out
people under cover of monetary policy. And what if even stocks of MBS dry up?
1.4 There’s always foreign exchange, my favourite. But some
counties take real offense when you drive their currency up.
1.5 Anyways - and more relevant to today’s issues - what if
the time comes to pull the base back and you find that your asset base is of
scarce quality. You may find that those MBS can only be sold for cents on
the dollar which, besides the obvious losses, would take away all power to
adjust the monetary base by open market operations.
1.6 Finally, even if your asset quality has kept, some
assets would just cause pandemonium if actually sold. Without going as far as
Moldbug does, the BoJ really could crash the whole economy if it decided to
sell their assets.
1.7 Enough nonsense, what the solution? What’s the asset
class that always keeps, and always initiates such a feedback loop that the
more you buy, the higher the value of stock outstanding, and vice versa? Hint.
1.8 Why, the Central Bank’s own stock of course!
1.9 You decide to increase the money supply, so you buy your own stock outstanding, causing the value of the remaining stock to go up in
exact proportion. There’s as much to buy as there was before! A normal firm
buying back stock depletes its assets, but for the Central Bank cash is just
another liability, so no harm done.
1.10 Or maybe it’s time to fight inflation, just issue more
stock to the public, and watch the value outstanding…do nothing, remain exactly
the same. Lol.
1.11 So, time for Central Banks to set aside 50% - 1 of
their shares for trading, and issue some of these to the public whilst buying
up some other (good value) assets. Once is circulating, you’ll be able to
run open market operations with reference to your own stock only.
1.12 An issue I can foresee is that this stock could itself
be monetised, making the buying and selling anaemic. Not sure how to prevent
this except by relying on the variation of the stock-price which is naturally
much greater than a bond’s.
1.13 And if you make this stock preferred, i.e. eligible to
receive at least a set dividend amount (to be financed by normal profits or
just money creation were these fall short) we go back full circle to the system
I discussed in section six here.
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